La Nina 2024 Australia. Most likely scenario this winter is for a weak la nina or neutral enso phase. Earlier this week, japan's weather bureau said there appeared to be signs of la nina phenomena developing as winter approaches, but there is a 60% chance weather conditions.

Of the 6 climate models surveyed (in addition to the bureau model), only one suggests ssts in the tropical pacific are likely to meet or exceed the la niña threshold (below. In many locations, especially tropical.