Allan Lichtman Prediction For 2024. Allan lichtman, the historian renowned for accurately predicting 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has shared his prediction for this year's white house race. Presidential election since 1984, using his own “keys to the white house” historical.

Here’s how his model works: Lichtman says that keys 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 13 are true this year: